Daily Killings in the nation Drop 37% In Claudia Sheinbaum, According to Official Figures

The typical count of daily murders per month in Mexico has dropped by thirty-seven percent since Head of State Claudia Sheinbaum began her term, according to fresh official figures. But, public safety specialists have cautioned that murder figures may not signal better national stability.

Significant Reduction in Per-Day Numbers

Officials reported an average of almost 55 killings a day in November compared with nearly 87 when Claudia Sheinbaum took the leadership in the previous September. This announcement was shared by the chief of the country’s federal safety system, Marcela Figueroa Franco, during the leader's regular press briefing on Tuesday.

“The result in killings that we’ve had in these months is extremely notable,” Sheinbaum stated, adding that last month the smallest amount of homicides were registered for any single November in the past decade.

Recent Background and Official Strategy

Violent organized crime infighting, coupled with the government’s highly military operations to take on the trafficking organizations, have caused Mexico’s murder numbers rise sharply in recent years. The rate peaked at a peak of 36,773 killings in 2020, according to the country’s national statistics office.

That resulted in Mexico a homicide rate more than 4x higher than that of the United States. Since then, murders have been on the decrease, dropping to 33,550 the previous year. The President has linked her public safety approach for an seemingly more pronounced drop in homicides in the current year.

At a media briefing in August, the Mexican leader stated: “There is a plan, we have tracking of the strategy, and we have specific monitoring locality by locality in certain cases. The strategy is effective. And we have to persist at it each day.”

The central components of Sheinbaum’s safety strategy include:

• Bolstering Mexico’s national guard.
• Advancing intelligence and investigation work.
• Enhanced coordination between various departments.

Analyst Caution and Data Concerns

However, public safety analysts cautioned that relying on murder numbers to draw a conclusion of pacification was flawed. This is notably true in light of the rise in different criminal activities such as people going missing.

“This would be positive news if this were a drop, but I think we must not just concentrate on the murder numbers and say: ‘Alright, excellent,’” stated Cecilia Farfán-Méndez, an authority on Mexico's criminal organizations. “I would be guardedly hopeful.”

Per the public policy analysis organization Mexico Evalúa, murders in total fell by over 20% in the initial 10 months of the current year relative to the identical period last year. However, missing persons cases have gone up by 15% and in certain states have increased by as much as 200%.

“Data on homicides is not useful for estimating the reality of public insecurity,” argued Armando Vargas, a security analyst at Mexico Evalúa. “First, we have police and investigators who do not have the resources or the will to accurately recognize and classify corpses. Secondly, organized [criminals] … have the capability to conceal violence through disappearances.”

Vargas added that relying on monthly averages of everyday killings was also an issue because it may obscure days when there were especially elevated levels of murders.

“Employing the per-day mean renders spikes of violent crime less visible,” he said.

Detentions and Seizures as Metrics of Success

An area where the administration can highlight the success of its safety strategy is on detentions and confiscations. Close to 40,000 individuals were detained between October 2024 and November 2025 for major crimes, per government figures. More than 20,000 guns were taken and 311 tons of narcotics confiscated.

“Donald Trump can't accuse President Sheinbaum of inaction, because in reality she is doing a lot with these many thousands of detentions, thousands of seizures, and all the operational degrading of organised crime. It’s highly in political terms profitable,” stated Vargas.

Persistent Unrest and Public Anger

But in spite of these actions, Mexico continues to be beset by extreme violence, with multiple regions in the grip of cartel-related conflict. Recently there was a prominent killing of a popular local official in the state of Michoacan, one of 10 mayors assassinated in the last year.

Weeks later, many thousands of protesters demonstrated in Mexico City and throughout the nation to voice their anger at corruption and narco-violence.

“The federal government frames [data] in a way to build a narrative of improvement. From a political standpoint it’s highly successful, from a social perspective it’s highly debatable,” Vargas said.