‘The Situation is Dire’: Conflict on Iran Squeezes India's Cooking-Gas Supplies.
The shockwaves of a conflict being fought nearly a significant distance away are now impacting India's homes.
As military actions on Iran disrupt energy deliveries through the vital shipping lane, supplies of kitchen fuel are dwindling across India, compelling restaurants to shorten food lists, reduce operating times and in some cases shut down altogether.
Social media is filled with video clips showing queues outside cooking-gas dealers across Indian urban and rural areas as concerns over fuel supplies escalate. Restaurant kitchens appear the hardest struck: the sharpest squeeze is in food service establishments.
"Conditions are critical. Cooking gas simply is unavailable," says a official of the a major restaurant body.
Most food outlets run either on business-grade gas tanks or piped gas, and the lack of supply are now being felt across the country. "Many restaurants have shut down - some in Delhi, many in the southern states. People are turning to solid fuels and induction stoves to keep their operations going."
City-Specific Fallout
In Mumbai, local news say up to a 20% of hospitality businesses are already operating at reduced capacity as cylinder availability dwindle. In the southern cities of tech and coastal hubs, some restaurants say their cylinder inventory have depleted with little backup. "We can only make coffee and no food items - it is nothing less than pathetic. Businesses are going to suffer," says a business operator in Bengaluru.
Restaurant operators are rushing to adjust. "Food options are being cut, some are cutting lunch service and operating solely in the evening," an industry representative says, adding that stoppages are fluctuating as supplies come and go. "A number of eateries in Delhi were shut yesterday - some have resumed operations. It's a fluid situation."
Retailers note a surge in sales of electronic cooking appliances, with some saying they are selling out quickly.
Authority's View
Yet, the government insists there is adequate supply.
India has more than a vast number of domestic LPG users and authorities say stocks are being redirected to households as tensions from the regional hostilities impact energy markets.
Approximately six out of ten of India's LPG is imported, and about 90% of those imports pass through the critical waterway, the vital passage now effectively closed by the war.
The oil ministry says that it ordered refineries to maximise LPG output for household consumption, enhancing domestic production by about a significant margin. Commercial stock is being reserved for essential sectors such as healthcare and education, while distribution will be "equitable and clear".
"Some panic booking and stockpiling has been sparked by rumors. The normal delivery cycle for domestic LPG remains about 60 hours," says a senior official.
Widening Concern
Now the worry is moving beyond kitchens. On online networks, a widely shared video from Chennai shows a lengthy, winding line of two-wheelers outside a petrol pump. "Concern is genuine," the description reads.
According to analysis from energy specialists, concerns about India's broader fuel supplies may be exaggerated.
India imports almost all of its crude oil. Around a significant portion of its petroleum shipments - about millions of barrels a day - travel through the waterway, largely from Gulf countries.
Even if crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz are blocked, the gap could be partly compensated for by higher imports of Russian petroleum, according to a sector expert.
Based on maritime intelligence and credible market sources, incremental Russian crude imports could reach around 1-1.2 million barrels a day, narrowing India's effective gap from exposure to the Strait of Hormuz to about 1.6 million barrels a day.
"A large quantity of Russian oil barrels are currently in transit at sea in the Indian Ocean and, with only key buyers as major buyers, those barrels remain a available backup," an analyst noted.
Kitchen Fuel: The Primary Concern
The key weakness is LPG, commentators observe.
India consumes roughly 1 million barrels a day, but produces only 40-45% domestically, importing the rest - most of it through the chokepoint.
Refineries can modify output to squeeze out a bit more LPG, but even a moderate increase would only increase domestic supply to about under half of demand, leaving the country largely dependent on imports.
In short: "Oil import vulnerability can be partially mitigated through alternative sourcing. Fuel availability remains largely sufficient. Kitchen fuel stocks is the key factor to track in the coming weeks."
What may be intensifying the panic on the ground is not just tight supply but uneven distribution - and the usual problem of stockpiling.
An industry representative states exploitative practices.
"Distributors are misusing the situation - black-marketing cylinders and selling them at a inflated price. In one small town, I heard of cylinders being accumulated and sold to the highest bidder."
For now, India's energy imports may be cushioned by worldwide shipping. But in kitchens across the country, the more pressing concern is simple: how to get the next gas canister.